As predicted upper high pressure ridge taking over rest of this week and through the weekend. What does this mean? No rain with mostly clear skies, temps slowly warming 80s to mid 90s and plenty of humidity. I guess the southern plains storm season is ending about two weeks early this year. We'll have more thunderstorms next week as ridge breaks down and we go back to northwest flow but as far as organized high end severe / tornado threat we're probably done. Don't know where you live but at my place far NW OKC I didn't have any severe weather this season only lots of rain.
The pic I posted above shows the upper level weather pattern Friday afternoon and you can clearly see the upper ridge of high pressure building over Oklahoma. It's not a heat wave high but almost zero rain chances through this up coming weekend with warm muggy weather. Thanks to all the rain / wet soil air temps slow to rise but still we'll climb into the 90s in the west and northwest, near 90 in OKC and Tulsa and did I say the word humidity!!!
This next pic above is valid for Saturday afternoon indicating the high firmly in place across Oklahoma. It's blocking the trough to the west and keeping any tropical disturbances at bay for now. The weekend will be very warm and muggy with little if any chance for significant rainfall.
With the high pressure ridge over Oklahoma and Texas the rainfall forecast through next Monday shows a "ring of fire" pattern. No rain over Oklahoma and Texas with showers and thunderstorms around the outer edges of the high resulting in the "ring of fire" presentation. Well, almost a complete ring except to the south along the gulf coast it's somewhat open.
However, the pattern changes again early next week. The high pressure ridge breaks down and we go back into west northwest flow aloft. This will shove a front south into Oklahoma Monday night / Tuesday of next week with an increasing chance for showers and t'storms. Also, that tropical disturbance in the Pacific could get pulled north into the rockies around the west side of the ridge and then shift east around the north side of the ridge over the southern plains possibly enhancing rainfall potential next week. But it's unlikely that what's ever left over from the tropical system as it comes up through the rockies and then east into the plains has any organization left over. Honestly, I doubt the tropical system will have any big influence on our weather. Time will tell.
Only two of these kids are mine but the boys of summer are gathering. I'll be spending the next few months playing basketball / baseball with the children of the hood with probably less and less weather updates. Ride like the wind to be free again....